Reinventing Uruguay
Carlos Alberto Montaner
For some months now, violent
groups of Argentine ''picketeers'' have impeded or hindered land travel to
Uruguay. They are orchestrated by the government and disguise themselves as
ecologists. The purported reason is the construction of two cellulose plants
near a river that acts a border between the two countries. The real reason
is that the law means increasingly less in Argentina, while the permanent
blackmail of the mobs expands with the complicity of a government that
subsidizes and encourages them.
The
International Tribunal at The Hague has found in favor of Uruguay, but that
ruling means very little to the bullies. At issue is an investment of more
than $1 billion, maybe the largest investment in the history of that small
country and a source of jobs for hundreds of Uruguayan workers -- but that
means nothing to the Argentine neighbors, just as the Brazilians cared
nothing when they devalued their currency a few years ago and plunged the
Uruguayans into an awful economic crisis.
The
three (plus Paraguay and, more recently, the Venezuelan loony bin)
constitute Mercosur and enjoy the superstition that they're building a
fraternal and all-encompassing Latin American homeland, but that's false. In
the long run, Uruguay will have to revise its vision as a nation. The bitter
truth is that it lives between two gigantic neighbors that don't take into
account its interests and needs. It will have to reinvent itself.
Until
the mid-1950s, it was said that Uruguay was the Switzerland of the Americas.
There was some truth in that statement. It was a tranquil, democratic,
educated and very prosperous country, for the standards of the times. From
the early 20th century, it had followed a social-democratic path with a high
level of state intervention, a route that produced good results. To look
more like Switzerland, the Uruguayans even imitated that country's
collegiate presidency -- governed by an executive council with a rotating
chairmanship.
However,
for diverse reasons -- among them state intervention and a clumsy
bureaucracy -- the economy began to lose steam, and the Switzerland of the
Americas became Latin-Americanized in the worst sense of the word: inflation,
unemployment, communist terrorism, left- and right-wing assassins and
putschist generals. Fortunately, in the mid-1980s the country recovered
democracy but emerged from the adventure badly battered. Nobody dared to
speak of the Switzerland of the Americas anymore.
The
secret of Switzerland's success is not its political model. To copy the
Swiss administrative structure or Constitution is useless. Switzerland's
secret is its immense civic capital and the functioning of institutions that
stimulate a spontaneous growth of private-sector enterprises.
Nestle
or the Swiss banks, or the nation's chemical and pharmaceutical industries
exist because Swiss society has created very hospitable conditions for the
generation of wealth. It is paradise for the capitalist economy, and
therefore the indexes of inequality are lower than in the rhetorical
universe of Latin America's allegedly egalitarian populism. Gini index:
Switzerland, 33.1; Uruguay, 44.6; Brazil, 59.7. The lower the Gini index,
the less social inequality.
Switzerland, on the other hand, doesn't waste much time trying to join blocs
in a search for major economies. That's another myth. Like Chile,
Switzerland negotiates bilateral free-trade agreements. If there are
powerful, well-managed companies that produce fine goods and services at
competitive prices, they'll undoubtedly get ahead. Private commercial
networks do not need costly bureaucracies managed with political criteria.
That's
the Switzerland that Uruguay must take as its model. The only thing that
will save the Uruguayans from Argentina's madness or Brazil's uncontrollable
lurching is to develop a modern entrepreneurial structure within the private
sector, based on technical and scientific development, so production values
are very high and workers earn high wages. Today, Uruguay's purchasing power
parity, per capita, is $10,000. Switzerland's is $33,000. A long road lies
ahead.
December 26, 2006
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